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Sunday, December 1, 2024

Google is killing goo.gl... LOL

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In my books, I used Google's URL shortener to shorten URLs. I felt that since Google was such a large company, the shortened URLs would ...
Saturday, February 2, 2019

Some statistics about the S&P 100's 2018 return

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The following figure shows the 2018 returns for stocks in the S&P 100: Some comments: The mean (average) return is 5.5 percent....
Friday, January 25, 2019

Top and Bottom 10 performers in the S&P 100 for 2018

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Top 10 performers in the S&P 100 for 2018: Stock Return FOX 41.3% LLY 40.5% MRK 39.9% NFLX...
Wednesday, January 23, 2019

Odds of beating the market over many years -- continued

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An earlier post  shows just how difficult it is to beat the market over many years. For instance, with a 45 percent chance of beating the ...
Friday, January 18, 2019

How to lie with data, edition 1,000,007 -- corporate debt to gdp

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In yesterday's NBR show , the host showed the following graph of corporate debt to GDP: He pointed out (1) peaks in the graph coinc...
Wednesday, January 16, 2019

Odds of beating the market over many years, a (very) naive model

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Suppose you knew, or estimated, the probability of beating the market over a year. What then is the probability of...
Monday, January 14, 2019

Starting off on a high. Dividend growth stocks from "Dividend Growth Whisperer" trounce the market in Q4, 2018.

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In my new book,  Dividend Growth Whisperer , published October 2018, I list 17 dividend growth stocks. While 3 months is a silly period to c...
Wednesday, January 9, 2019

We win again. Dividend Growth Stocks from "Investing in Dividend Growth Stocks" beat the market again in 2018.

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2018 was a bad year for most U.S. stocks. The stock market, as measured by the S&P 500, returned -4.38 percent for the year. The typical...
Monday, January 7, 2019

Land of Confusion: What did the market return in 2018? Really, now.

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In today's Wall Street Journal (the Monday, January 7, 2019 edition), Suzanne McGee, in the "Best Stock-Fund Managers of 2018"...
Thursday, October 11, 2018

Valuing a Dividend Growth Stock with the Magic Formula (Dividend Growth Whisperer)

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Enter the parameters below, then click "Calculate!" to calculate the estimated return for a dividend gro...
Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Valuing Chipotle

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Ticker: CMG Sector: Consumer Discretionary Size: Large-cap Website: http://www.chipotle.com A "messy" recent history : In...
Thursday, January 21, 2016

Why weekly up-moves are likelier than daily up-moves

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Historically, the probability of an up-day in the market is about 54 percent  and the probability of an up-week is somewhat higher . In fa...
Tuesday, January 19, 2016

How dividend growth stocks outperform the market

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The following graph plots the weekly returns of the market versus  VIG (Yahoo! Finance), the dividend growth ETF from Vanguard , which I use...